Actual Win Percentages


This chart shows the natural win percentages for horses going to post at selected odds and the actual win percentages obtained from a major study of final results. The “track take” percentages were based on an average industry-wide take-out.

Notice the only odds brackets that win as often or more often than their natural odds would suggest are one-to-five and one-to-two.

To find out the results of a 157-race study of horses that closed at 1-5, I encourage you to read The Logical Choice.

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