“Avoid races with large fields.” That was the third of the ten tips at a website I recently visited. The tip continued with, “Research says that most of us top out at handling more than seven variables. The same is true in races with large fields. The more horses there are in the field, the harder it is to keep track of the rationale for and against each one. It’s much easier to paint a mental picture of a race with a smaller number of entrants, and that means that it is easier to make good handicapping decisions.”
Using that rationale, there are six unplayable races at Del Mar today as the three smallest fields on the entire card have seven entries, and barring last minute vet scratches things should remain that way. So, if you are contented with backing short-priced horses and losing your money, you should be playing Del Mar because long shots are frequent and you can lose your money that much quicker. I remember one Sunday last year where eight of the nine races produced double-digit payouts, one of them paying over $80 for a $2 ticket, another over $90. (No, I did not have either one of them.)
Face reality people. Small fields mean small payouts, and small payouts do not elicit sustainable profits one can live off of. It is obvious the person who wrote the tip above is unaware that, as I mentioned yesterday, ninety percent (90%) of all winners come from the five lowest ranked (by odds) horses in a race. So, if people are capable of handling seven variables, they should easily be able to focus on just five horses at a time.